Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1111.861389 1268.614964 1445.251833 1660.153575 1916.037693 2212.823144 2585.793685
2025-06-01 866.890312 1065.914652 1312.378584 1644.454636 2087.058451 2666.702933 3500.343414
2025-06-08 736.728192 948.209634 1225.894339 1625.323650 2199.021227 3015.843833 4310.256844
2025-06-15 662.203335 884.844651 1191.742288 1658.404499 2373.750434 3471.452465 5374.818155
2025-06-22 581.670984 799.525898 1111.146783 1605.851118 2404.303073 3706.295760 6140.505607
2025-06-29 520.396121 732.860426 1046.647508 1563.982380 2438.290647 3945.173740 6968.319303
2025-07-06 468.361690 673.362718 984.554251 1514.759613 2447.998199 4138.651931 7758.525615
2025-07-13 446.568248 656.920621 986.170739 1568.393193 2642.165280 4704.276288 9478.544513
2025-07-20 420.008766 629.942376 967.216171 1583.047487 2766.172525 5159.732423 11113.396483
2025-07-27 402.843938 616.089122 967.839189 1631.524384 2961.884581 5805.864142 13453.952689
2025-08-03 385.976330 600.919018 964.185791 1670.876741 3145.452652 6469.702747 16128.018274
2025-08-10 373.822248 592.407713 970.908441 1730.343467 3381.548848 7316.480295 19740.808364
2025-08-17 352.369091 567.321040 947.730874 1732.705119 3505.315124 7955.289632 23181.263328
2025-08-24 329.230238 537.562876 913.490622 1709.047948 3568.662525 8468.054109 26567.599058
2025-08-31 309.240895 511.628931 883.586247 1689.891709 3638.382749 9020.690911 30500.589477
2025-09-07 297.430128 499.553755 878.917979 1724.489705 3849.153672 10059.257298 37315.232076
2025-09-14 276.993857 469.789888 836.630884 1669.357611 3816.614078 10336.599170 40905.841953
2025-09-21 259.617954 444.542775 801.164086 1625.434797 3806.468457 10689.125306 45241.527255
2025-09-28 243.016722 419.631396 764.294288 1573.816849 3766.012684 10930.360305 49258.100274
2025-10-05 237.929618 416.592343 772.180112 1630.061386 4045.866846 12430.058040 62630.808201
2025-10-12 229.483474 406.302749 763.842388 1645.432921 4209.174144 13566.753627 75367.045573
2025-10-19 224.548995 402.626927 769.280384 1696.293980 4495.061452 15340.430179 96176.971793
2025-10-26 219.077450 397.440895 770.904517 1737.594544 4761.874883 17180.966287 121796.885079